We live in unprecedented times. The recession in 2020 was not so much a recession as it was a lockdown. Using “normal words” to describe the economy in the last 2 years, we believe, does not make sense. Now with two consecutive quarters of declining real GDP, many are saying we are back in a recession. The charts in the High Frequency Data Tracker follow data that are published either weekly or daily, providing a good real-time look at where the economy stands. As of now we believe these measures, along with other monthly economic data coming in, show we are not in a recession.
High Frequency Data Tracker 12-16-2022
December 20, 2022